Friday, December 30, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Musk says Twitter in precarious position, defends cost cuts

Musk says Twitter in precarious position, defends cost cuts

Profiles

Social Digital Network Media Media Man



Elon Musk is defending his massive cost-cutting at Twitter as necessary for the social media platform to survive next year, due in part to debt payments tied to his $44 billion takeover of the company.


“This company is like, basically, you’re in a plane that is headed towards the ground at high speed with the engines on fire and the controls don’t work,” Musk told a late-night audience on a Twitter Spaces call Tuesday.


That’s after Elon Musk said earlier on Tuesday that he plans on remaining as Twitter’s CEO until he can find someone willing to replace him in the job.


Musk’s announcement came after millions of Twitter users asked him to step down in an online poll the billionaire himself created and promised to abide by.


“I will resign as CEO as soon as I find someone foolish enough to take the job!” Musk tweeted. “After that, I will just run the software & servers teams.”


Since taking over the San Francisco social media platform in late October, Musk’s run as CEO has been marked by quickly issued rules and policies that have often been withdrawn or changed soon after being made public.


Musk said Tuesday night that he “spent the last five weeks cutting costs like crazy” and trying to build a stronger paid subscription service because otherwise Twitter might be operating with $3 billion in negative cash flow next year. He in part blamed the $12.5 billion in debt tied to his April agreement to buy the company, as well as the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate hikes.


Some of Musk’s actions have unnerved Twitter advertisers and turned off users. He has laid off more than half of Twitter’s workforce, released contract content moderators and disbanded a council of trust and safety advisors that the company formed in 2016 to address hate speech and other problems on the platform.


The Tesla CEO has also alienated investors at his electric vehicle company over concerns that Twitter is taking too much of his attention, and possibly offending loyal customers.


Even more unnerving for investors, Tesla shares are plummeting.


Shares of Tesla are down 35% since Musk took over Twitter on Oct. 27, costing investors billions. Tesla’s market value was over $1.1 trillion on April 1, the last trading day before Musk disclosed he was buying up Twitter shares. The company has since lost 58% of its value, at a time when rival auto makers are cutting in on Tesla’s dominant share of electric vehicle sales.


Shares fell Wednesday, as they have every day this week.


A single share of Tesla that cost about $400 to start the year, can now be had for less than $140.


Musk sought to defend some of his recent Twitter decisions on the Twitter Spaces call.


“They may seem sometimes spurious or odd or whatever,” Musk said. “It’s because we have an emergency fire drill on our hands. That’s the reason. Not because I’m naturally capricious. Or at least, aspirationally, I’m not naturally capricious.”


Musk, who also helms the SpaceX rocket company, has previously acknowledged how difficult it will be to find someone to take over as Twitter CEO.


Bantering with Twitter followers earlier this week, he said that the person replacing him “must like pain a lot” to run a company that he said has been “in the fast lane to bankruptcy.”


“No one wants the job who can actually keep Twitter alive. There is no successor,” Musk tweeted.


As things stand, Musk would still retain overwhelming influence over platform as its owner. He fired the company’s board of directors soon after taking control.

Monday, December 26, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Business is a combination of war and sport. - Andre Maurois

Media Man Business Blog

Business is a combination of war and sport. - Andre Maurois




Media Man Business Blog: 5 Keys To Online Success

Media Man Business Blog 

5 Keys To Online Success


It is being more commonly understood that the dot.com bust of 2000 was more the result of bad business models and execution than of some intrinsic fault within the Internet. Many businesses with models appropriate to the Internet are alive and thriving.


Perhaps you’re wondering if your own business has what it takes to be successful on the Web? While every situation is different, experts have noted that successful online businesses possess a number of common characteristics. Let’s take a look at five key characteristics that they share.


1. Management possessed a “Net” awareness.

Dun and Bradstreet’s 20th Annual Small business Survey reports that two-thirds of today’s small businesses have Internet access, and approximately 50 percent of those also have a Website. And more than 60 percent of those with Internet access plan to increase their use of the Internet in coming months.


As business owners and decision-makers, you will most certainly benefit by spending time online learning about the Internet. Look at how your competitors and industry are using it, try to discern where your markets potentially hang out, and ask lots of questions.


2. They had an organized plan.

Do you remember the story Alice in Wonderland and the Cheshire cat? One day Alice came to a fork in the road. Looking around, she saw a Cheshire cat in a tree. “Which road should I take?” she asked. “Where do you want to go?” the cat replied. “I don’t know,” Alice answered. “In that case,” the cat said, “it doesn’t matter which road you take.”


Once you have gotten familiar with the Internet and its potential for your marketing, create a written plan of action. Simply putting your ideas down on paper will help focus your thoughts. Set goals and identify how you can get there.


How important is it to have a plan, or better yet, a written business plan? The Small Business Administration says that most successful companies started with a detailed business plan and those that didn’t plan were far more likely to fail.


3. Successful ventures implemented their creative ideas and then learned from what worked and what didn’t.

Kraft Foods is the largest branded food and beverage company in North America, and the second largest worldwide. Paula Sneed, one of their vice presidents, was a keynote speaker at an Economist Conference. She boiled down the basis for their success down to three simple “ingredients” which I believe are also important to all businesses, no matter what size.


Make smart bets. Kraft identified initiatives that build brand, increase customer loyalty, or cut costs.

Move fast. Once identified, they implemented their initiatives. I think one of the most notable things Sneed said was, “If we’re going to fail let’s fail fast and fail cheap.”

Make course corrections. Kraft expected both success and failure. They made mid-course corrections based on early feedback to improve the likelihood of success. Even failures provided good market feedback they could use for future initiatives.


4. Successful Web ventures did targeted marketing.

As a marketing consultant I find that many small businesses have great difficulty identifying their choice markets. I can’t tell you how many times I ask entrepreneurs what their target markets are, only to be told, “everyone.”


But targeting your marketing to “everyone” doesn’t make sense. Targeting means identifying those potential customers who represent the best prospects for sales and focusing your marketing efforts on them. This is simply the old 80/20 rule (that 80% of your sales come from 20% of your customers) in practice.


In fact, finding a niche and working to serve its unmet needs is one of the best uses for the Web. Why? Because the Web isn’t really a mass marketing tool, as some would believe. It’s actually a supreme targeted marketing tool.


5. They combined online and offline marketing.

I always hear people making either/or kinds of comments about offline versus online advertising. But successful companies recognized that online and offline advertising are synergistic. They support and amplify one another.


Here are two simple examples. First, including your website URL in all your offline advertising messages (yellow pages, magazine ads, circulars etc) will bring traffic to your website. Second, a signup form on your website that you use to send prospects your standard marketing printed materials (brochures, sales materials etc).


While these five Keys do not guarantee online success, including them in your business will certainly improve your chances for success.

Tuesday, December 20, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Organic Search Results

Media Man Business Blog: Organic Search Results




In Web search engines, organic search results are the query results which are calculated strictly algorithmically, and not affected by advertiser payments. They are distinguished from various kinds of sponsored results, whether they are explicit pay per click advertisements, shopping results, or other results where the search engine is paid either for showing the result, or for clicks on the result.


Background

The Google, Yahoo!, Bing, Petal and Sogou search engines insert advertising on their search results pages. In U.S. law, advertising must be distinguished from organic results. This is done with various differences in background, text, link colors, and/or placement on the page. However, a 2004 survey found that a majority of search engine users could not distinguish the two.


Because so few ordinary users (38% according to Pew Research Center) realized that many of the highest placed "results" on search engine results pages (SERPs) were ads, the search engine optimization industry began to distinguish between ads and natural results.[citation needed] The perspective among general users was that all results were, in fact, "results." So the qualifier "organic" was invented to distinguish non-ad search results from ads. It has been used since at least 2004.


Because the distinction is important (and because the word "organic" has many metaphorical uses) the term is now in widespread use within the search engine optimization and web marketing industry. As of July 2009, the term "organic search" is now commonly used outside the specialist web marketing industry, even used frequently by Google (throughout the Google Analytics site, for instance).


Google claims their users click (organic) search results more often than ads, essentially rebutting the research cited above. A 2012 Google study found that 81% of ad impressions and 66% of ad clicks happen when there is no associated organic search result on the first page. Research has shown that searchers may have a bias against ads, unless the ads are relevant to the searcher's need or intent.


The same report and others going back to 1997 by Pew show that users avoid clicking "results" they know to be ads.


According to a June 2013 study by Chitika, 9 out of 10 searchers don't go beyond Google's first page of organic search results, a claim often cited by the search engine optimization (SEO) industry to justify optimizing websites for organic search. Organic SEO describes the use of certain strategies or tools to elevate a website's content in the "free" search results.


Users can prevent ads in search results and list only organic results by using browser add-ons and plugins. Other browsers may have different tools developed for blocking ads.


Organic search engine optimization is the process of improving web sites' rank in organic search results.


References

Wikipedia

Search News Media

Search Engine Journal

Search Engine Land

Friday, December 16, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Donald Trump Announces $99 Digital Trading Card NFTs The edition of 45,000 NFTs features the former president in various fantasy costumes and poses. It will be minted on Polygon.

Donald Trump Announces $99 Digital Trading Card NFTs The edition of 45,000 NFTs features the former president in various fantasy costumes and poses. It will be minted on Polygon.















Collect Trump Cards (Image credit: Trump Trading Cards)


New York: Donald Trump teased a “major announcement” just weeks after declaring a third presidential run, leading political-watchers to speculate about big campaign moves.


Instead, he hawked digital trading cards with his head atop cartoon super-hero figures in an NFT market that’s already sagging.


Trump said on his Truth Social platform that the “Donald Trump Digital Trading Card collection” could be collected like baseball cards and stored digitally (a NFT, or non-fungible token, is essentially a unique digital file). The “cards” cost $US99 ($147) each and people who buy them are also entered into a sweepstake for prizes including a golf outing with the former US president.


They are being offered by NFT INT LLC, which says on its website that they are not connected to Trump’s 2024 presidential campaign and the company is not owned, managed or controlled by Trump, his company, or their affiliates. Trump gets paid under a licence for use of his name and likeness, according to the website.


Trump has over the years licensed the Trump brand to a number of third-party, and mostly failed, products including steak, vodka, an airline and a university.


The market for NFTs has fallen sharply in recent months along with the rest of the crypto universe, which has endured a series of spectacular blow-ups including the November implosion of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX digital-asset empire.


Trump had teased the announcement with a post on his social platform on Wednesday depicting himself as a Superman-like character standing in front of Trump Tower with lasers shooting from his eyes saying, “America needs a superhero”. In crypto parlance, laser eyes are a bullish signal and that picture is now one of the available digital cards.


There was speculation that the “major announcement” would be something dramatic like Trump returning to Twitter or running to be House speaker.


Trump announced on November 15 that he would wage a 2024 White House bid.


Trump’s comeback run has so far been marked by one downturn after another, including being blamed for a disappointing Republican midterm showing; the growing popularity in the party and among voters of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis; the public dinner he held with two well-known anti-Semites; deepening legal woes; subpar online fundraising and polls showing him losing favour among his base.


President Joe Biden took a jab at Trump on Twitter, noting that he, too, had some “MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENTS,” over the last couple of weeks, including signing the Respect for Marriage Act and securing the release of basketball star Brittney Griner from a Russian prison.


Shortly after his NFT announcement, Trump posted a video to his social site to outline what he described as a platform to “reclaim” the right of free speech should he retake the White House in 2024.

Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried Arrested in Bahamas, Being Extradited to US

Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried Arrested in Bahamas, Being Extradited to US





The former CEO of failed cryptocurrency firm FTX, Sam Bankman-Fried, has been arrested in the Bahamas and is set to be extradited per a request by the U.S. Government.


The arrest occurred late Monday with a U.S. criminal complaint unsealed Tuesday morning. 


U.S. Attorney Damian Williams confirmed that Bankman-Fried had been under criminal investigation by U.S. and Bahamian authorities following the collapse last month of FTX.


The cryptocurrency exchange filed for bankruptcy on Nov. 11, when it reportedly ran out of funding.  Bankman-Fried has remained at his Bahamian luxury compound in Nassau since the company’s failure, according to reports.


“We expect to move to unseal the indictment in the morning and will have more to say at that time,” Williams said.


Bahamian Attorney General Ryan Pinder said the Bahamas would “promptly” extradite Bankman-Fried to the U.S.


One of those involved in FTX, Dan Friedberg, turns out to be an attorney once tied to a poker cheating scandal.  Years later an audio tape emerged showing whereby he appeared to be complicit in the scheme.  CoinGeek's Steven Stradbrooke had warned of Friedberg's involvement in the collapsed crypto exchange nearly two years prior to FTX going under.


He was added as a defendant last week in an FTX lawsuit recently filed by Gregg Podalsky, Gary Gallant, Skyler Lindeen, Alexander Chernyavsky, and David Nicol.  No word yet on whether charges will be filed against Friedman.


While at FTX, Friedman held four job titles over a two year span at FTX, including Head of Compliance. 


The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has also accused Bankman-Fried of “orchestrating a scheme to defraud equity investors”.  They accuse him of deliberately misleading customers out of millions of dollars.


“We allege that Sam Bankman-Fried built a house of cards on a foundation of deception while telling investors that it was one of the safest buildings in crypto,” the S.E.C. chair, Gary Gensler, said in a statement.

Monday, December 05, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Elon Musk thanks advertisers as Apple and Amazon return to Twitter

Elon Musk thanks advertisers as Apple and Amazon return to Twitter





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Media Man Business Blog: Why Blackstone’s US$69 billion property fund is signalling pain ahead for real estate industry

Why Blackstone’s US$69 billion property fund is signalling pain ahead for real estate industry




Profiles

Property Real Estate Media


Pain is deepening across the US real estate industry.


Two of the biggest players – Blackstone and Wells Fargo – took steps last week to contend with weaker demand as the industry faces a rapidly cooling property market, rising interest rates and waning investor appetite. 


The well-heeled investors in the US$69 billion Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust (Breit) learned last Thursday (Dec 1) that the fund will limit withdrawals as people seek to pull money from what’s been a cash magnet for one of the largest owners of real estate globally. Also on Thursday, Wells Fargo, the biggest home loan originator among US banks, confirmed that it’s cutting hundreds more mortgage employees as soaring borrowing costs crush demand.


“It’s a one-two punch,” Susan Wachter, real estate professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, said in an interview. “Both are realistic pullback responses to the overall economic weakness we’re seeing now as well as the spike in interest rates.”


In the past decade, the real estate industry reaped the benefits of the Federal Reserve’s policy of low rates. Homebuyers, taking advantage of record-low borrowing costs, went on a spree that fuelled double-digit price gains. Ultra-low rates also drove a refinancing boom that put more money in homeowners’ pockets and spurred the creation of jobs for mortgage brokers, title insurance agents and appraisers. 


Now, real estate has been among the hardest-hit sectors of the Fed’s campaign to quash inflation by boosting interest rates at the fastest pace in decades.


In the housing market, mortgage rates that have doubled this year are sidelining potential buyers and causing sellers to pull back on new listings. A measure of prices has dropped for the last three months, while pending home sales have fallen for five months in a row. The volume of mortgages with rate locks plunged 61 per cent in October from 2021 levels, according to Black Knight. 


Commercial real estate is also feeling the sting. Property prices have slumped 13 per cent from a peak this year, according to Green Street’s October price index. The financing environment has become trickier as some big lenders have scaled back, leading property owners such as a Brookfield Asset Management unit to warn that it might struggle to refinance certain debt.


The industry fallout has been wide-ranging. Reverse Mortgage Funding, a home lender backed by Starwood Capital Group, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy last week.


Layoffs have been widespread. Opendoor Technologies, which pioneered a data-driven spin on home-flipping known as iBuying, laid off about 18 per cent of its workforce and wrote down the value of its property holdings by US$573 million. Brokerage Redfin went through two rounds of layoffs and shuttered its iBuying business, while competitor Compass also made deep cuts to its technology teams in a quest for profitability.


Layoffs only tell part of the story of the pain. While mortgage firms and real estate technology companies cut costs by firing workers, real estate agents make up a large share of the industry’s workforce. They’re usually considered independent contractors and depend on commissions for a living. They don’t show up in layoff tallies but are also exposed to slowing home sales.


“There are hundreds of thousands of real estate agents who are not going to be practising because people are buying and selling fewer homes,” said Mike DelPrete, a scholar-in-residence at the University of Colorado Boulder. “It’s like a silent culling of the ranks.”


When interest rates were ultra low, investors turned to commercial real estate as a source for higher yields than they could get by owning Treasuries and other low-risk bonds.


That was part of Briet’s appeal, drawing in high-net-worth clients lured by the 13 per cent annualised returns in one major share class through October. Breit raked in money to buy apartments and industrial buildings, properties that the private equity firm bet would keep growing in value because demand outstripped supply. People who couldn’t afford to buy a house needed to rent, the reasoning went, and shoppers increasingly buying online drove up the need for warehouse space.


“Our business is built on performance, not fund flows, and performance is rock solid,” a Blackstone spokesperson said last Thursday after the firm announced the redemption limits. 


Much of the money withdrawn from Breit was from overseas, with offshore investors redeeming at eight times the rate of US ones in the past year.


Commercial-property owners are getting hit with financing challenges after years of paying for deals with cheap loans. Expensive debt has pushed some borrowers into negative leverage, which means that debt costs are outpacing expected returns. Dealmaking has also frozen, with transaction volume plunging 43 per cent in October from a year earlier, according to MSCI Real Assets. 


“With the benefits of leverage severely limited and owners who are not being forced to sell, the price expectations gap between sellers and potential buyers has been wide enough to limit deal closings,” Jim Costello, an MSCI economist, wrote in a Nov 16 report.


Despite all the pain points, the housing and commercial real estate industries are in better shape than in some previous downturns, with more tightly underwritten loans and less of a risk of markets being oversupplied.


With Breit, the fund is still outperforming the S&P 500 Index, even as investors increasingly want out. And Thursday’s announced sale of a stake in two Las Vegas hotels is expected to generate roughly US$730 million in profit for Breit shareholders, Bloomberg previously reported.


What’s changing most drastically across the industry is the relative value of real estate to other investments.  


Thanks in part to the Federal Reserve’s hiking campaign, investors have other places to earn money that could generate more yield than in years past and tend to be more liquid than commercial real estate, including Treasuries, investment-grade bonds, and mortgage-backed securities.


“Real estate is quite cyclical,” Wharton’s Wachter said. “It’s bad for real estate when rates go up and you can get higher yields from Treasuries and other assets.” 

Media Man Business Blog: The Media Man Australia website is part of the Media Man Group. Media Man Australia was established in 2001 by Australian based media entrepreneur, Greg Tingle.

Media Man



The Media Man Australia website is part of the Media Man Group. Media Man Australia was established in 2001 by Australian based media entrepreneur, Greg Tingle. 


Media Man is a Hitwise Australia Top 10 website (Hitwise Australia) in the entertainment - personalities (pop culture) category.


Core services include:

Publicity / PR

News

Advertising

SEO (search engine optimization) services, links, meta-tags, portal development, buzz.

Project Management


Websites Of Reference:

Media Man

Media Man Int

Media Man Int LinkedIn

Media Man Australia LinkedIn

Greg Tingle LinkedIn

Wikipedia

Wikimedia



Monday, November 28, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Macao Awards Casino Licenses to MGM, Sands, Wynn, 3 Others

Macao Awards Casino Licenses to MGM, Sands, Wynn, 3 Others



Macao has tentatively renewed the casino licenses of MGM Resorts, Las Vegas Sands, Wynn Resorts and three Chinese rivals after they promised to help diversify the economy by investing in non-gambling attractions.


Macao has tentatively renewed the casino licenses of MGM Resorts, Las Vegas Sands, Wynn Resorts and three Chinese rivals after they promised to help diversify its economy by investing in non-gambling attractions, the government said Saturday.


The announcement is positive news for owners who have invested billions of dollars to build the former Portuguese colony near Hong Kong into the biggest global gambling center. But the requirement to spend on theme parks, music and sports adds to financial pressure at a time when revenue has plunged under anti-virus restrictions.


Regulators will negotiate final terms before licenses take effect Jan. 1, the office of Chief Executive Ho Iat Seng announced. A seventh bidder, newcomer Genting Group of Malaysia, received no license.


The territory of 700,000 people on a peninsula in the South China Sea is the world's most tourism-dependent economy. It's under pressure from Chinese President Xi Jinping’s government to diversify with retailing, entertainment and other industries and to reduce reliance on gamblers from the mainland, its main revenue source.


License applicants promised to fulfill requirements including “exploring overseas customer markets and developing non-gaming projects,” a government statement said.


It gave no details, but TDM Radio Macau reported earlier the winners would be expected to invest a total of $12.5 billion.


Macao's economy has shrunk since anti-virus restrictions that shut down most tourist travel were imposed in 2020.


The Chinese operators include SJM Holdings, part of the empire of the late Stanley Ho, who had a four-decade monopoly on casinos until 2001.


The others are Melco International, run by Ho’s son Lawrence, and Galaxy Entertainment Group.


The decision to allow in foreign-owned casinos in 2002 brought a flood of money to Macao. The six license holders operate a total of 41 casinos.


Annual revenue from slot machines, dice tables and other games peaked at $45 billion in 2013, more than triple Las Vegas' level. But it slid after Beijing tightened controls on how often mainland gamblers could visit.


By 2019, before the pandemic, gambling revenue sank 19% from 2013′s level to $36.4 billion. In 2020, it collapsed 80% to just $7.6 billion. Last year, revenue climbed back to $10.8 billion, but that is down 75% from 2013.


In the latest quarter, the economy shrank by another one-third from last year's depressed level due to anti-virus controls imposed after outbreaks in June, according to the government. It said gambling revenue plunged 72.5% and tourist arrivals shrank 50.8%.


Adding non-gambling assets would make Macao more like Las Vegas. Casinos there try to attract families and non-gamblers with roller coasters, music, shopping centers, art exhibits and water parks.


SJM operates a zip line and indoor skydiving attractions. It dropped a proposal for a Hello Kitty theme park. The tycoon behind Galaxy talked about a possible theme park resembling the movie “Avatar,” but it never went ahead.

Tuesday, November 22, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: News (Gaming/Gambling): United States Igaming Revenue Report

News (Gaming/Gambling): United States Igaming Revenue Report


Total igaming revenue for October 2021 in New Jersey, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, West Virginia, and Delaware added up to $445.2 million, an increase of just under 22% over October 2021…internet-gaming win reported in New Jersey was $147.2 million, reflecting growth of 15.9%...Michigan won a record $141 million from online gamblers…Revenue from igaming in Pennsylvania was $124.5 million, an increase of 17.4% over October 2021…Igaming operators set a revenue record in October at $21.9 million… West Virginia igaming revenue for October came in at $9.4 million, a 32% jump…Delaware’s internet casinos won $1.2 million from gamblers in October 2022, a 22.5% increase.

Thursday, November 17, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Gambling Group Estimates US Will Bet $1.8B on World Cup

Gambling Group Estimates US Will Bet $1.8B on World Cup


ATLANTIC CITY, N.J. -- Americans will bet $1.8 billion on the World Cup this year, the first to be held while legal sports betting is widespread in the U.S., according to the casino industry's national trade group.



About 20.5 million American adults plan to bet on the biggest soccer tournament in the world, legally or otherwise, the American Gaming Association estimated Tuesday. The majority plan to place bets online, with a bookie or at a physical sportsbook.


The survey is the organization's first for World Cup betting.


Thirty-one states plus Washington, D.C., currently offer legal sports betting, with five additional markets due to begin soon.


“As the first World Cup with widespread availability of legal sports betting, this will certainly be the most bet-upon soccer event ever in the U.S.,” said Casey Clark, the group's senior vice president. “With more than half of all American adults having access to legal betting options in their home market, legal sports betting will deepen American fan engagement in the most-watched sporting event in the world.”


Legal wagering is currently available to 132 million Americans in their home states. That is up dramatically from the 2018 World Cup, when only 10 million had access to it in just three states.


That was the year New Jersey won a U.S. Supreme Court case clearing the way for all 50 states to offer legal sports betting if they so choose.


The survey asked respondents what they would bet on if they were given $50 to make a wager on the winner of the tournament. The results were: United States (24%); Brazil (19%); Argentina (17%) and Germany (10%).


It also shows plenty of room for growth in terms of betting on the World Cup. Less than 3 in 10 Americans who plan to watch the tournament say they will bet on it.


The tournament begins Nov. 20 with host nation Qatar taking on Ecuador. The U.S. has its first game the next day against Wales.

Thursday, November 03, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Murdoch's News Corp-Fox reunion gambit comes as sports betting valuations tank

Murdoch's News Corp-Fox reunion gambit comes as sports betting valuations tank


Nov 2 - Rupert Murdoch’s proposal to recombine News Corp (NWSA.O) and Fox Corp (FOXA.O) and capitalize on sports betting has yet to convince Wall Street as the valuations in the once red-hot gambling market crumble, according to former employees, financial analysts and sports media experts.


While some former employees see the move as driven by the 91-year-old Murdoch's succession planning to consolidate power behind his son Lachlan Murdoch, CEO of Fox Corp, people familiar with the Murdochs' thinking say they are serious about the sports betting opportunity.


"The proposal is 100% based on business rationale," a spokesman for Rupert Murdoch told Reuters. "Any commentary that implies it has to do with succession planning is absurd and comes from sources with no knowledge of the strategy."


There are other factors motivating the merger including a bid to achieve greater scale in news, live sports and information, sources said. Lachlan Murdoch did not discuss the potential deal on Tuesday's earnings call, but talked up the value of scale, "particularly (in) the next couple of years, when opportunities in the marketplace will emerge."


As recently as August, Lachlan Murdoch described sports betting as "a huge opportunity" for Fox Sports, telling Wall Street it would fuel viewer engagement. Combining live game broadcasts with News Corp's sports coverage would create a more compelling sports package, and strengthen the company's hand when it comes to sports betting, according to people familiar with the deal's logic.


But Wall Street's enthusiasm for sports betting has cooled since early 2021, as investors prioritize profitability over spending aggressively to acquire new customers. Thirty-six U.S. states and the District of Columbia have legalized sports betting, though the pace has slowed.


"The thing about the sports betting opportunity is it started off like a house on fire, with all the states approving it," said Huber Research Inc analyst Douglas Arthur. "But I'm not hearing as much excitement about it right now as I did nine months ago. If that's the rationale (for the merger), it's a pretty weak one.”


Since the start of 2022, the stock prices of 11 major publicly traded sports betting companies, including DraftKings Inc (DKNG.O) and Barstool Sportsbook's Penn Entertainment Inc (PENN.O), have tumbled by an average of 35%, according to Refinitiv data.


That does not necessarily mean the pace of legalized sports betting is slowing. Total wagers are expected to reach $390 billion globally this year, according to researcher H2 Gambling Capital. Kantar Sports analyst Ryan McConnell said the market is flooded with new entrants and consolidation appears likely.


Casualties are starting to build up. Streaming service FuboTV shuttered its sports betting service in October, and Churchill Downs announced in February that it would abandon online sports.


"It's a highly competitive market," said gaming industry analyst Steve Ruddock. "It's difficult for companies that aren't fully invested in that as their primary business to compete."


SLOW START

Since selling their movie assets to the Walt Disney Co (DIS.N) in 2019, the Murdochs laid a new course for a slimmed-down Fox, based on sports betting. The company soon paid $236 million for a 5% stake in Toronto online bookmaker the Stars Group which helped launch Fox Bet and owns the app.


Combining Fox with News Corp could bring a larger audience to sports betting, potentially increasing the financial rewards for attracting new gamblers and gaining more lucrative sponsorships from sportsbooks eager to promote their apps, said one media executive.


The Murdochs' early foray has been slow-going. The sports betting app Fox Bet is available in four states, with just 0.2% share of the U.S. market, according to researcher Vixio. A free version called Fox Bet Super 6 has attracted some 6 million users whom Fox hopes to eventually convert to gamblers.


The growth of Fox Bet has stagnated since market-leading FanDuel's owner, Flutter Entertainment Plc (FLTRF.L), acquired Stars Group in 2020. The companies have been locked in a dispute over the price Fox would pay to exercise its option to buy 18.6% of FanDuel. The matter is the subject of an arbitration case and Lachlan Murdoch told investors a decision is expected imminently.


News Corp has previously stumbled in sports betting. Last month, News' first direct investment in Australian bookmaking, Betr, went live ahead of the country's most-watched horse race, the Melbourne Cup. Within two days, an ad that ran in News Corp's tabloid newspapers triggered a regulator inquiry into whether the ads breached laws prohibiting inducement to gamble. Betr says it is cooperating with the regulator.


Matt Davey, chairman of Las Vegas sports betting investment firm Tekkorp Digital Acquisition Corp , which co-invested with News Corp in Betr, said News had seized on its media reach in Australia, where it sells more than half of all newspapers and runs sports-heavy cable TV channel Foxtel, to create a "pretty powerful combination" of media and betting.


At least one investor is waiting to be convinced that approach will work in the United States.


"Fox has got a far-reaching audience so it does make sense, if you're going to launch (sports betting) into the U.S., that you have that Fox network, distribution and partnership," said John Ayoub, a portfolio manager at Sydney-based Wilson Asset Management, which owns News Corp's Australian-listed shares. "But we'll probably need a little bit more detail."

Monday, October 31, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Leaders Are Leaving Wall Street For The High Stakes World Of Blockchain Gaming

Leaders Are Leaving Wall Street For The High Stakes World Of Blockchain Gaming




Brash, high-flying 26-year-olds working in private equity at legendary asset management firm BlackRock are decidedly a rare breed. Even more scarce are those who voluntarily walk away from Wall Street to plunge headfirst into a largely untested emerging market. Yet, that’s exactly the trajectory of Paul Taylor, chief strategy officer at Fancy Studios, who left the $10 trillion asset firm to focus on one of the latest and more exotic applications of crypto, NFTs (non-fungible tokens), and blockchain.


“I loved every moment of my work,” he recalls. “Being surrounded by the best in the business and the never-ending flow of projects was great. The work kept me on my toes every second and it was a fantastic learning experience. I really appreciated the exposure to world class companies, investors, and management teams.”


Yet, in hindsight, Taylor admits the allure of crypto began to gnaw away at him. As he watched an increasing flow of talent and capital migrate to the world of blockchain, he wondered whether he was missing out.


“I’d been following crypto since 2017, and funnily enough, I had a reputation as one of BlackRock’s biggest bears on the space,” he says. “I consider myself a logical person with a healthy degree of skepticism, and in the earlier days of crypto, there were just so many projects that didn’t have real use cases. Lots of buzzwords and vague roadmaps without a clear slight to real utility. I was interested, but not interested enough to seriously consider switching careers.”


Of course, the path carved by Wall Street insiders leaving their lucrative gigs in favor of crypto is one now well traveled. Several years after the early exuberance of investors in Bitcoin and other digital currencies and NFTs, a new application of blockchain is gaining momentum: “GameFi.” Also known as “Web3 gaming” or “blockchain gaming,” it is promising to breathe new life into digital assets and empower gamers.


A mashup of “gaming” and “finance,” GameFi is a term used to describe online activities which offer players the chance to win, trade, and own digital assets. Functioning within games in the form of game characters, currencies, and commodities, these digital placeholders can also be interoperable, meaning that they can be used in other games.


“The more I learned about GameFi, the more comfortable I got,” Taylor says. “I talked with founders of some of the biggest names in GameFi, played tons of crypto games, and used my instinct as a gamer to build my confidence in the industry. As a chess player, I thought both short-term and long-term to predict future trends and market adoption, including the opportunities and risks. Ultimately, I created my own thesis on the industry and had enough conviction to pursue it with my full focus.”


Over the past year, GameFi has quickly become a strategically important sector for crypto and is attracting the attention of gamers, as well as funding from investors. According to DappRadar, GameFi currently represents over 50% of all blockchain activity, measured by unique active wallets, which represent users who have recently performed transactions within the ecosystem. GameFi is also expected to grow to a $50 billion market by 2025, according to research from Crypto.com.


One popular example of this new shift in gaming is Axie Infinity which had a meteoric rise in 2021, hosting 2.7 million daily active users in November and having tens of millions of dollars worth of its NFTs traded weekly. Much of the appeal are crypto tokens used as rewards for completing quests, battling other players, and for breeding digital pets. As you may have guessed, these digital assets take the form of NFTs which players can buy, sell, and trade with others. The inclusion of NFTs is integral to the popularity of GameFi gaming industry, according to analysts. The concept of real ownership represents a paradigm shift in the industry–gamers now can own what they spend their time and money on.


Although in recent months Axie Infinity has experienced a decline in its popularity, other GameFi projects have emerged with variations on the model, attracting capital from investors. In the first half of this year, more than $5 billion has entered the sector, compared to $4 billion for the entire 2021. A $600 million fund was launched by Andreessen Horowitz in May, entirely focused on “building the future of the games industry.” A month later, Immutable debuted a $500 million fund with the mission to “boost the adoption of Web3 games.”


Today, Paul Taylor believes these high profile bets on GameFi further validate his rationale for leaving Wall Street and jumping into the still-embryonic GameFi sector.


“As we saw, GameFi really took off in 2021,” he comments. “Its appeal is deeply rooted in who I am. Growing up, I was the kid who would come home from school and finish my homework as fast as possible to try to get a computer gaming session in before my parents kicked me off to go to bed. Then I’d sneak up at midnight to continue where I left off. Being a lifetime gamer has given me an edge in determining whether a GameFi project is legit or just smoke and mirrors. I can play a game for a bit and instantly tell you if it’s fun or not.”


He adds that his love of strategy and competition truly took root the moment he saw a chess board. Even as a child, Taylor was far from a pedestrian chess player. After learning the game at the age of five, he went on to win his first state scholastic title within a year. That was his first of what became eight state titles. At seven he won his first national scholastic title, the first of four. At just eight years of age he was coaching a collegiate chess team. By 11 he was taking on (and defeating) 15 players at a time. After turning 13 he abruptly quit, noting that around this age is usually when one decides if they want to go pro or not. For him, chess was a game, not a career. However, he still plays regularly, albeit casually.


He credits chess with playing a very large role in how he thinks and views the world, saying the game is an allegory for many things in life. Taylor says he tends to analyze things mechanically and calculates multiple scenarios over time.


“Gamers represent one-half to two-thirds of the world’s population, depending on how you define it. Additionally, gaming is among today’s most popular pastimes. And this isn’t a new trend. In 2015, the League of Legends world championship event had 27 million viewers, more than the NBA finals or MLB world series. In 2019, the League of Legends world championship had over 100 million unique viewers, beating out the Super Bowl’s 98 million. The younger generations are spending more and more time online, and a large amount of that time is spent on gaming. There’s a reason why gaming has the highest profit margins of any established industry. GameFi represents the next evolution for gaming and it’s easy to understand why its prospects have captured the imagination of investors,” he states.


“In my view it's impossible for a market to hit a trillion market capitalization and then wind up having no value. It’s still early days for everything in crypto and there are a lot of emerging trends. Capital will accelerate innovation and quickly figure out what works versus what does not. I believe GameFi will be one of the big winners. There are of course educational, onboarding, and regulatory hurdles the industry must overcome, and we are still waiting for blockbuster web3 games to bring in many more millions of traditional web2 gamers. However, I’m confident that will all happen within a couple of years.”


After experimenting with a variety of GameFi entrants vying for gamer loyalty, Taylor landed at Fancy Studios, a Web3 gaming studio focused on developing hyper-casual mobile games that use blockchain technology and NFTs. In his role as Chief Strategy Officer he oversees business strategy, project management, and brainstorms how to scale the business.


Founded in October of last year, the hot game developer has already raised $12.5 million to fund their first few titles. Investors represent some of the most notable players in the industry, including Framework Ventures, Illuvium, Merit Circle, and Yield Guild Games. To date, Fancy Studios has released two games with more in the pipeline for this and next year. Their first game ‘Fancy Birds’ has seen strong demand, with users minting over 45,000 of their flagship bird NFTs, which have now traded over $2 million in secondary volume on platforms such as OpenSea.


“So far, it’s been an amazing journey,” Taylor enthuses. “I really enjoy the start-up culture and being among the first in the industry to really validate your own thesis. I personally think the concept of owning digital assets and being able to use them from one game to another is really powerful. That type of flexibility simply has never existed for gamers before.”


He says that his own deep connection with gaming informs where he believes Fancy Studios will take GameFi in the near future.


“It's always a little painful quitting one game, losing all my progress to play a different game,” he admits. “I can only imagine what the landscape will be like once gamers expect to own their digital assets and can have a single character to play all their games. I probably would be playing my RuneScape or Guild Wars character from my childhood for all my games,” he laughs.


Taylor is not new to the world of start-ups. He has been advising at Make Ventures Princeton, the university’s premier student-run incubator. More recently he’s been mentoring blockchain projects, providing insights into GameFi trends, tokenomics, fundraising, and other topics. His background on Wall Street has also helped him become an active investor in web3 projects, usually participating in the pre-seed and seed stages.


“I’ve always had an inclination towards the early-stage culture and the idea of building something new. I believe it’s important to always have a pulse on what’s working now and also what will be working in the future. I believe crypto is the next wave of innovation that will bring a lot of new technology into the mainstream and benefit society,” says Taylor.


As for the cultural shift he’s experienced in his transformation from Wall Street asset manager to GameFi entrepreneur, he says it boils down to different personalities and meeting environments.


“The biggest difference I’ve noticed is that those in crypto tend to be a little more creative and visionary. Fail fast, break things, and build. On Wall Street it was more about maximizing efficiency,” he says. “Additionally, a lot of my meetings now consist of a younger audience wearing t-shirts that are sitting in gaming chairs talking about game designs and whether something looks ‘cool’ or not.”


Although it's likely too early to tell how GameFi will pan out, innovators such as Paul Taylor expect it to be a wild ride.


“I think ‘GameFi’ and ‘gaming’ will become synonymous in the public's mind sooner than we think,” he adds. “As a gamer, you develop an identity when you play a game, as you customize and upgrade your avatar over time. GameFi will allow you to keep or trade that value versus destroying it, and I think future games (as well as the Metaverse) will also require this concept of a persistent interoperable identity in order to be successful. The transition is already well in the works and I am quite optimistic of its future.”

Media Man Business Blog: LinkedIn News Wins 'News Aggregator Of The Month' Award Again

LinkedIn News Wins 'News Aggregator Of The Month' Award Again



Thursday, October 27, 2022

Media Man Business Blog: Elon Musk visits Twitter headquarters ahead of takeover deadline - 26th October 2022

Elon Musk visits Twitter headquarters ahead of takeover deadline 


Billionaire Elon Musk said he paid a visit to Twitter Inc's (TWTR.N) headquarters in San Francisco on Wednesday, ahead of a court-ordered deadline to close his $44 billion deal for the social media platform.

"Entering Twitter HQ – let that sink in!" said the caption of a video that Musk tweeted in which he was walking into the Twitter office carrying a sink in his hands.

Elon Musk Twitter

Entering Twitter HQ – let that sink in!

Hours earlier, he hinted at being the company's top boss after updating his profile's bio to "Chief Twit".

Elon Musk Twitter

A beautiful thing about Twitter is how it empowers citizen journalism – people are able to disseminate news without an establishment bias

Twitter confirmed Musk would visit the San Francisco office this week, but declined to comment further.

Banks have started to send $13 billion in cash backing Musk's takeover of Twitter in a sign that the deal is on track to close by the end of the week, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

Once final closing conditions are met, the funds will be made available for Musk to execute the transaction by the Friday deadline, the report added.

Bank of America and Barclays declined to comment on the report when contacted by Reuters, while Morgan Stanley did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

In the six months of a dramatic back-and-forth since Musk announced his $54.20 per share bid, Twitter initially resisted the deal by adopting a poison pill and later sued the world's richest man after he announced plans to abandon the offer on concerns about spam accounts on the platform.

Earlier this month, Musk proposed to proceed with his original $44 billion bid, calling for an end to the lawsuit by Twitter.

The Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) CEO notified co-investors who committed to help fund the Twitter deal that he plans to close it by Friday, Reuters reported on Tuesday.

Equity investors including Sequoia Capital, Binance, Qatar Investment Authority and others have received the requisite paperwork for the financing commitment from Musk's lawyers, Reuters reported.

Twitter shares were up about 1.1% at $53.91 in extended trading, slightly below Musk's offer price.